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Submitted by: Mike Davies
The reasoning will be that the system has identified a flaw that the bookies have not priced in.
As the horse has taken its position as the favourite in the race, its price will be far shorter than its real chance of winning the race and therefore it represents a “value” lay bet.
There is a great deal of poor quality racing in the UK and attempting to determine which horses to back or lay is extremely difficult. At certain times of year even the reasons that trainers and owners may be racing their horses may be invalid.
Horses often do not run to form and those which you would consider are more suited to the knackers yard occasionally go on to win races
The bottom line is that horses are, in the end of the day, simply animals.
All the form study in the world, can and frequently does have absolutely zero impact on the real outcome of a horse race.
Of course we are working on percentages and you can improve your statistical chances of success by thorough informed investigation of the race fundamentals.
But, the facts remain undeniable that any horse that makes it to the stalls can on its day win a horse race, even if its victory is only due to every other horse in the race falling over!!
This is the stark reality of betting money on animals.
Where human beings are involved in a sports event there is a good deal of psychological preparation that takes place and allows professional sportsmen to perform to a reasonable standard even when they are feeling below par.
It stands to reason that this obviously does not happen with animals. If an animal wakes up in a bad mood or below par then that is pretty much the end of the story.
Part of the beauty of laying is that you can make good progress by winning small, regular frequent amounts.
Some useful daily information re: possible lay bets is published at:
http://www.parlaysuk.com
The data is generated using different computer programs that simulate various systems. The data is then analyzed for its potential effectiveness.
The problems I have encountered however are that the predicted SP odds posted on the site are consistently unachievable.
This is also a very frequent tactic of the more blatant tipping sites whereby they post unattainable odds alongside their tipped horses in order that their overall result figures look much better than are actually achievable in reality.
In Part 2 we examine precisely why you shouldn’t give your money to tipsters, and finally in Part 3 strategies that DO provide consistent long term profits from Betfair.
About the Author: Advanced Tips and Betfair Technical Training. Horse Racing
Exchange Betting
, Horse Racing Systems and Guaranteed Profitable
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Tips, Bet Angel Professional Betting Software => http://www.Betting-Exchange-Trading.com
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